Best Picture:
What Should Win: Black Swan, directed by Darren Aronofsky. Easily the best film of the year.
What Will Probably Win: The King's Speech, directed by Tom Hooper.
Another Contender: The Social Network, directed by David Fincher.
What Should've Been Nominated: Animal Kingdom instead of Winter's Bone, but that's nitpicking. For once, the Best Picture nominees are all really damn good.
Best Director:
Who Should Win: Darren Aronofsky for Black Swan.
Who Will Probably Win: Whoever wins Best Picture, meaning Tom Hooper for The King's Speech.
Another Contender: Being the other Best Picture frontrunner, David Fincher for The Social Network.
Who Should've Been Nominated: Christopher Nolan for Inception and Danny Boyle for 127 Hours instead of Tom Hooper for The King's Speech and the Coen brothers for True Grit.
Best Actor:
Who Should Win: James Franco as Aron Ralston in 127 Hours. Easily.
Who Will Probably Win: Colin Firth as King George VI in The King's Speech. This one is almost a lock.
Another Contender: Nobody, really. If anyone can steal it away, it's probably Jeff Bridges as Rooster Cogburn in True Grit.
Who Should've Been Nominated: Again, not really anyone. The only one remotely close is probably George Clooney as Jack in The American instead of Jesse Eisenberg as Mark Zuckerberg in The Social Network.
Best Actress:
Who Should Win: Natalie Portman as Nina Sayers in Black Swan. Again, easily.
Who Will Probably Win: Portman. This one is almost a lock, too, and one of the few I'll be happy about.
Another Contender: The only person with a shot to rob her is Annette Bening as Nic Allgood in The Kids Are All Right.
Who Should've Been Nominated: Hailee Steinfeld as Mattie Ross in True Grit instead of Bening (of the nominees I've seen). Yes, she's nominated in the Supporting Actress category, but that's a joke: she's got more screen time than anyone else in the entire film.
Best Supporting Actor:
Who Should Win: Christian Bale as Dicky Eklund in The Fighter.
Who Will Probably Win: Bale. Yet again this one is pretty locked down.
Another Contender: Geoffrey Rush has a decent chance at an upset as Lionel Logue in The King's Speech.
Who Should've Been Nominated: Andrew Garfield as Eduardo Saverin in The Social Network instead of Jeremy Renner as Gem Coughlin in The Town.
Best Supporting Actress:
Who Should Win: Hailee Steinfeld as Mattie Ross in True Grit.
Who Will Probably Win: Steinfeld, but this is easily the most wide open acting award of the night.
Other Contenders: Melissa Leo as Alice Ward and Amy Adams as Charlene Fleming in The Fighter and Jacki Weaver as Smurf Cody in Animal Kingdom.
Who Should've Been Nominated: Either Julianne Moore as Jules Allgood in The Kids Are All Right or Mila Kunis as Lily in Black Swan instead of Helena Bonham Carter as Queen Elizabeth in The King's Speech. I have no idea why this role has gotten so much awards praise.
Best Original Screenplay:
What Should Win: Inception, written by Christopher Nolan.
What Will Probably Win: This one is a toss-up, but I am going to go with my gut: Inception.
Other Contenders: All of them. Another Year, The Fighter, The Kids Are All Right, and The King's Speech.
What Should've Been Nominated: Black Swan, written by Mark Heyman, Andres Heinz, and John McLaughlin instead of The Kids Are All Right. I honestly have no idea how it wasn't nominated.
Best Adapted Screenplay:
What Should Win: The Social Network, written by Aaron Sorkin.
What Will Probably Win: Sorkin. This one's in the bag.
Other Contenders: Nothing. Seriously, nothing else has even a remote chance at this.
What Should've Been Nominated: Scott Pilgrim vs. The World, written by Edgar Wright, instead of True Grit, written by the Coen brothers. Both very well written, I just prefer the other four nominees and SPvTW to Grit.
Best Animated Feature:
What Should Win: Toy Story 3, directed by Lee Unkrich.
What Will Probably Win: Toy Story 3 has this completely locked up.
Other Contenders: Neither of the other two have a shot.
What Should've Been Nominated: Well, I've only seen one really good animated film this year, and it's already nominated. So I guess no others should've been.
Best Original Score:
What Should Win: Trent Reznor's The Social Network.
What Will Probably Win: The Social Network.
Other Contenders: Hans Zimmer's Inception has a shot, but I don't see it happening.
What Should've Been Nominated: Again, nothing really stands out.
Best Cinematography:
Who Should Win: Roger Deakins for True Grit.
Who Will Probably Win: Deakins.
Other Contenders: Wally Pfister for Inception and Jeff Cronenweth for The Social Network both have an outside shot at an upset, but it's not going to happen for either of them.
Who Should've Been Nominated: Anthony Dod Mantle for 127 Hours instead of Danny Cohen for The King's Speech. Personally, Mantle's cinematography is better than everything that actually got a nomination.
As for the rest of the nominations, either I have not seen enough of the nominees to make a good judgment or I don't think I'm qualified enough to judge which is better. For those, I'm just giving my predictions for the real winners based on awards buzz and my own guessworthy talent.
Best Foreign Language Film: Incendies (Canada), directed by Denis Villeneuve.
Best Documentary Feature: Inside Job, directed by Charles Ferguson.
Best Documentary Short: Killing in the Name, directed by Jed Rothstein.
Best Live Action Short: Na Wewe, directed by Ivan Goldschmidt.
Best Animated Short: Day & Night, directed by Teddy Newton.
Best Original Song: "If I Rise" by A.R. Rahman, Rollo Armstrong, and Dido, from 127 Hours.
Best Sound Editing: Richard King for Inception.
Best Sound Mixing: Lora Hirschberg, Gary Rizzo, and Ed Novick for Inception.
Best Art Direction: Robert Stromberg and Karen O'Hara for Alice in Wonderland.
Best Makeup: Adrien Morot for Barney's Version.
Best Costume Design: Colleen Atwood for Alice in Wonderland.
Best Film Editing: Andrew Weisblum for Black Swan.
Best Visual Effects: Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley, and Peter Bebb for Inception.
Now let's see how good I do.
No comments:
Post a Comment